Forecast: Value Added of Air Transport in the UK

The value added of air transport in the UK has shown a steady increase from 2013 to 2023, with the latest value standing at 6.07 billion pounds sterling in 2023. Over this period, the year-on-year growth rates and CAGR figures indicate fluctuations but generally positive growth, with notable spikes in 2014 (14.43%) and 2015 (12.4%). The period from 2019 to 2023 saw more moderate growth, with year-on-year variations between 2.25% and 2.07% and a 5-year CAGR of 3.39%.

Forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests a continued upward trend, though at a slower pace, with an expected 5-year CAGR of 1.59% and a total growth rate of 8.2% over this period. Future trends to watch include:

  • Technological advancements in air transport
  • Environmental regulations impacting the aviation sector
  • Economic factors affecting discretionary travel and cargo transport
  • Brexit implications on UK-EU air transport agreements
  • The resurgence of global travel post-COVID-19 pandemic

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