Forecast: First Registrations of New Passenger Cars in Australia

Based on the data, the forecast for the first registrations of new passenger cars in Australia shows a gradual decline from 34.1 units per thousand persons in 2024 to 33.27 units per thousand persons in 2028. Comparing year-on-year, the variations indicate minor decreases: -0.61% from 2024 to 2025, -0.62% from 2025 to 2026, -0.62% from 2026 to 2027, and -0.60% from 2027 to 2028. Over the last two years, the value in 2023 stood at 34.34 units per thousand persons, highlighting a recent declining trend. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last 5 years reveals an average annual decrease.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Increased electric vehicle adoption and its impact on new car registrations.
  • Economic factors influencing consumer purchasing power and preferences.
  • Government regulations and incentives impacting automotive sales.
  • Technological advancements in autonomous driving and connected car technologies.
  • Shifts in urban mobility patterns, including car-sharing and ride-hailing services.

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