In 2023, the fallow land area fully converted and under conversion to organic farming in France stood at a certain level as a baseline for comparison with future forecasts. In 2024, this area is projected to reach 166.7 thousand hectares, marking the beginning of a steady upward trend. Year-on-year, an increase of approximately 14.3% is expected through to 2025, reaching 190.52 thousand hectares. The positive growth trajectory continues with projections of about 12.4% annual increase, climbing to 214.1 thousand hectares in 2026. By 2027, it is anticipated to grow another 10.9% to 237.45 thousand hectares. By 2028, the forecast suggests that the total area will rise to 260.57 thousand hectares, maintaining a growth of around 9.7% annually. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is estimated to be approximately 11.7%.
Trends to watch:
- Increasing consumer demand for organic products could further incentivize the conversion of fallow land.
- Government policies supporting organic farming may lead to more land being converted at a faster rate than forecasted.
- Technological advancements in organic farming might accelerate conversion efficiency, impacting overall land area trends.
