Based on the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028, tobacco consumption among persons aged 15-24 in Brazil is projected to decrease steadily. The percentage of daily smokers in this age group is expected to decline from 6.6% in 2024 to 5.2% by 2028.
Year-on-year, the consumption rate is forecasted to decrease as follows:
- From 2024 to 2025: Decrease by 4.5%
- From 2025 to 2026: Decrease by 6.3%
- From 2026 to 2027: Decrease by 6.8%
- From 2027 to 2028: Decrease by 5.5%
The average yearly decline in tobacco consumption (CAGR) for the analyzed period is estimated to be around 6.2%.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of stringent tobacco control policies, increased public health campaigns, growing societal awareness on the health risks of smoking, and the rise of alternative nicotine products such as e-cigarettes. Additionally, monitoring technological advancements aimed at reducing smoking rates and the influence of socioeconomic factors will be critical in forecasting long-term trends in tobacco consumption.
