The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in epidemiology in the US is projected to slightly decline from 94.03% in 2024 to 93.56% in 2028. Historically, the trend indicates a subtle decrease year-on-year.
Key insights include:
- The share stood at approximately 94.15% in 2023.
- Year-on-year variation suggests a minor annual decrease of around 0.12% from 2024 to 2028.
- The five-year CAGR reveals a consistent average decline per year as new collaborative and multi-author practices evolve.
Future trends to monitor include increasing interdisciplinary projects and evolving authorship models, which may influence the lead author roles. The focus on collaborative research could further diversify corresponding authors' demographics in upcoming years.
