The forecasted share of corresponding/leading author roles in scientific publications in Epidemiology in China is projected to steadily increase from 94.5% in 2024 to 94.62% in 2028. This represents a marginal year-on-year increase, averaging an incremental growth rate of approximately 0.03% annually over the specified period. As of 2023, this share was at 94.5%, indicating a stable trend with slight growth over the following years.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential shifts in government policies promoting international collaborations could alter the forecasted growth pattern.
- Investments in domestic research infrastructure and talent may further solidify the role of Chinese authors as corresponding leaders in the field.
- Global research dynamics post-pandemic may influence these publication patterns and corresponding authorship roles in unexpected ways.