The suicide mortality rate in Brazil has been forecasted to increase steadily from 2024 to 2028, with values rising incrementally from 7.6 deaths per 100,000 persons in 2024 to 8.2 in 2028. In 2023, the rate stood at approximately 7.5, highlighting a persistent upward trend. The year-on-year percentage increase in the mortality rate is consistent: 2.63% from 2024 to 2025, 1.28% from 2025 to 2026, 1.27% from 2026 to 2027, and 2.50% from 2027 to 2028. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is approximately 1.84%, reflecting a moderate but consistent rise.
Future trends to watch include potential policy interventions, awareness campaigns, and socio-economic factors that may influence mental health services and support systems in Brazil. These have the potential to mitigate the rising trend, highlighting the importance of continuous monitoring and responsive strategies to address mental health challenges and reduce suicide rates effectively.
