Forecast: Road Freight Transport in the UK

The UK road freight transport sector showcased a varying trend over the past decade. From a low in 2014, the sector rebounded strongly in 2015 and continued to see moderate growth through 2019. However, 2020 saw a significant dip of 11.91%, likely due to disruptions caused by the global pandemic. The sector rebounded in 2021 with a 7.38% increase and continued on a growth trajectory, achieving a 3.02% rise in 2023, standing at 166.55 Billion Tonne Kilometers. The 5-year CAGR leading up to 2023 was 0.67%, reflecting slow but steady growth.

Future projections indicate a continued stable growth rate with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.43%, reaching 171.13 Billion Tonne Kilometers by 2028. Overall, the trend suggests resilience and gradual recovery post-2020, with anticipated moderate growth in the coming years.

Trends to watch:

  • Impact of technological advancements and automation on logistics efficiency.
  • Policy shifts towards greener and more sustainable transport solutions.
  • Economic fluctuations and their influence on trade volume.