Forecast: Rail Freight Volume in the Netherlands

The rail freight volume in the Netherlands, which stood at 7.21 Billion Tonne Kilometers in 2023, has exhibited fluctuations over the past decade. Persistent growth was disrupted by notable decreases in 2017 (-2.62%) and 2020 (-16.2%), the latter likely due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Subsequently, the sector rebounded with marked improvements in 2021 (15.52%) and 2022 (6.21%). The average year-on-year growth over the past five years amounted to 0.52% CAGR. The outlook from 2024 onwards suggests a steady upward trend, evidenced by a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.72% leading up to 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Technological advancements in freight logistics and automation
  • Impact of environmental policies promoting rail over road transport
  • Potential disruptions or boosts from economic changes and trade agreements

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