Forecast: Tangerines, Satsumas, Clementines and Mandarines Production in Kenya

In 2013, production was at 20.94 thousand metric tons, growing significantly by 89.02% YoY. However, this period was followed by a continual decline, reaching a low of 8.38 thousand metric tons in 2017. This trend reversed slightly in 2018 with a 33.69% increase, but recent years (2021-2023) showed a marginal YoY decline of around 1%. The forecasted CAGR for the next five years (2023-2028) is -0.97%, leading to a projected production of 9.78 thousand metric tons in 2028 with an overall decline of -4.73% from 2023.

Future Trends to Watch: Key factors to monitor include weather patterns, technological advancements in agriculture, and economic policies affecting the agricultural sector, which will significantly influence production levels in the coming years.

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