In 2023, the road freight volume of substance emitting flammable gases (with water) in France stood at approximately 195.5 million tonne kilometers. From this baseline, the forecast shows a steady increase in volume with 211 million tonne kilometers in 2024, projecting a growth to 274 million tonne kilometers by 2028. Year-on-year variations indicate anticipated growth rates of about 10% from 2024 to 2025, approximately 6.9% from 2025 to 2026, about 5.6% from 2026 to 2027, and roughly 4.6% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecasted period is estimated at 7.06%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of environmental regulations on transport emissions, advancements in alternative fuels, and improvements in transportation efficiency. Market volatility stemming from geopolitical tensions or economic shifts could also influence these forecasts.