The forecasted tax expenditure on natural gas for residential use in the US, expressed as a percentage of GDP, shows a decline from 0.003% in 2024 to a consistent 0.002% from 2025 to 2028. This represents a noticeable initial drop followed by stabilization over the forecast period. The year-on-year variation highlights a 33.3% decrease from 2024 to 2025. The CAGR over the five years shows a steady trend towards stabilization rather than growth.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in energy policies, the adoption rate of alternative energy sources among residential consumers, and macroeconomic factors impacting GDP or energy demand. These could significantly influence tax expenditure projections.