The forecast for the commercial and public services final consumption of natural gas in Italy from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady increase. Starting from 7.25 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) in 2024, consumption is expected to rise to 7.5 Mtoe by 2028. As of 2023, the baseline consumption was noted at 7.19 Mtoe, indicating a minor but consistent growth trend over the forecasted years.
Year-on-year analysis reveals a positive percentage change: approximately 0.8% from 2024 to 2025, continuing similarly up to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) implies a stable upward trend averaging around 0.9% per year over five years.
Trends to watch include the impact of energy efficiency policies and potential shifts towards renewable energy sources that may influence natural gas consumption patterns. Economic growth or contractions could also significantly alter these projections, making adaptive strategies crucial for stakeholders.
