The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in the field of Applied Microbiology and Biotechnology in France is projected to decrease slightly from 82.64% in 2024 to 81.39% in 2028. This represents a modest decline over the forecasted period, indicating a gradual shift in authorship dynamics. Notably, in 2023, the share stood at 82.64%, marking the beginning of this downward trend.
Year-on-year variations display minimal percentage decreases annually, showing a steady, albeit slow, shift. Over a five-year horizon, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) highlights an average decline, signaling consistent change.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Increasing collaboration and co-authorship, potentially redistributing authorship roles.
- Growing emphasis on multi-disciplinary studies may lead to shifts in leading author distribution.
- Technological advancements facilitating international collaborations could further impact authorship shares.