Forecast: Total Number of Scientific Publications in Biotechnology in Brazil

Between 2013 and 2023, Brazil witnessed fluctuations in the number of scientific publications in biotechnology. Starting with a significant increase in 2013 (31.07%), the subsequent year saw a notable decline (-18.02%). The period from 2015 to 2018 demonstrated steady growth, interrupted only slightly in 2016 and 2017. Post-2018, the trend generally pointed upward, peaking in 2022 and continuing up to 2023 with a year-on-year variation of 5.6%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2018 to 2023 was robust at 6.6%, signaling a consistent expansion in research outputs.

Looking ahead, the forecast for 2024 through 2028 predicts a continued upward trajectory, albeit at a slower pace with a 5-year forecasted CAGR of 3.68%. This suggests a more moderate but stable increase in biotechnology publications.

Future Trends to Watch:

  • Potential shifts in funding and investment in biotechnology research.
  • Emergence of technological advancements driving new research areas.
  • Collaboration patterns, both domestically and internationally.
  • Policy changes affecting research infrastructure and focus areas.

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