Data on the import of fresh plums to Viet Nam reveals significant fluctuations over the past decade. From 2013 to 2016, imports exhibited growth, peaking at 893.9 thousand kilograms. However, starting in 2017, imports consistently declined, reaching 286.56 thousand kilograms in 2023. The last two years showed a negative trend with year-on-year variations of -7.41% in 2021 and -8.34% in 2023. Over the past five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -7.46% reflects a steady decline in import volume.
Looking ahead, the forecast to 2028 indicates a continuous downward trend, with an expected CAGR of -10.23%, amounting to a 41.71% reduction in imports over this period. Future trends to watch include potential changes in domestic plum production, consumer preferences, and import regulations that may further influence these figures.