In Italy, healthcare expenditure on outpatient long-term care, expressed as a unit of GDP, has shown little fluctuation over the past decade. It stood at 0.17% of GDP in 2023. Historically, year-on-year variation has remained minimal, barring minor increments and decrements, with the most significant changes observed between 2014 and 2015, and again between 2018 and 2019. The five-year CAGR up to 2023 was flat, indicating stagnant growth during that period. Looking forward, forecasts suggest a decline, with a negative five-year CAGR of -1.21%, bringing the expenditure down to 0.16% of GDP by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential policy changes in healthcare funding that could impact long-term care expenditure.
- Demographic shifts such as an aging population, which may drive demand for long-term care services.
- Technological advancements that could either reduce costs or improve care efficiency, affecting overall expenditure.
