In recent years, the number of people killed in road accidents in Italy has shown a fluctuating trend. After a high of 3.43 thousand deaths in 2015, the numbers have generally decreased, with a significant drop to 2.4 thousand deaths in 2020, likely due to reduced travel during the COVID-19 pandemic. The 2023 figure stands at 3.05 thousand deaths, with the years following projected to witness a gradual decline, reaching 2.78 thousand by 2028.
The year-on-year variation highlights a drop in fatalities for most years, with a notable increase in 2021 and 2022, then slightly decreasing in 2024 and onwards. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2019 to 2023 shows an average annual decrease of 1.8%, while the forecasted CAGR for the next five years is estimated at -1.44%, indicating a continued but slowing decline.
Future trends to watch for:
- Advancements in vehicle safety technologies and infrastructure improvements.
- Policy measures aimed at improving road safety and reducing fatalities.
- Impacts of increased urbanization and changes in travel patterns post-pandemic.
