The share of Brazilian scientific publications in the world's 10% top-cited in Developmental Biology is forecasted to decrease gradually from 2024 to 2028, starting at 1.84% and declining to 1.80%. Compared to 2023 levels, this indicates a slight downward trend. Year-on-year changes reflect a consistent, albeit marginal, decrease in Brazil's contribution to highly cited papers in this field. With a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) showing a minor decline over five years, the growth in impactful research output is modest.
Future trends to watch for include technological advancements driving research efficiency, global collaborations enhancing impact, and funding variations affecting publication outputs. Monitoring these factors will be critical for reversing or mitigating the downward trend in Brazil's citation impact in Developmental Biology.
