The share of scientific publications involving international collaboration in biochemistry, genetics, and molecular biology in China is forecasted to slightly decline from 2024 to 2028, starting at 11.94% in 2024 and gradually decreasing to 11.78% by 2028. This represents a subtle downward trend, suggesting a marginal but consistent reduction in international collaboration despite China's growing influence in global research.
In 2023, the share stood at an actual value (not provided in the dataset), making any variations year-on-year indicative of potential shifts in China's research dynamics. The calculated compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecasted period emphasizes this declining pattern.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in international research policies, increased domestic research capabilities, and geopolitical factors that could further influence the level of international collaboration. Additionally, monitoring investments in local research infrastructure and educational initiatives could provide insights into whether collaboration rates might rebound in the longer term.
