Forecast: Diabetes Mellitus Mortality in Australia

Between 2013 and 2023, diabetes mellitus mortality among women in Australia exhibited fluctuations, peaking in 2014 at 17.4 and hitting a low of 15.6 in 2018. The year-on-year changes varied markedly, with notable declines in 2018 and a spike in 2021. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years stood at 0.88% up to 2023. In 2023, the value was 16.3 deaths per hundred thousand women.

Forecast data from 2024 to 2028 suggest that mortality rates will stabilize at 16.4, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0%, indicating no expected growth.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of healthcare advancements on diabetes management and potential public health interventions. Monitoring lifestyle changes and addressing socio-economic disparities will also be crucial in understanding and potentially reducing mortality trends.

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