The crude mortality rate of cerebrovascular disease in rural areas in China is forecasted to rise steadily from 173.9 per 100,000 in 2024 to 182.39 per 100,000 in 2028. This represents a year-on-year increase of approximately 1.24% from 2024 to 2025, 1.20% from 2025 to 2026, 1.19% from 2026 to 2027, and 1.17% from 2027 to 2028. As of 2023, the crude mortality rate stood at 171.8 per 100,000. Over the five-year period, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is projected to be approximately 1.32%.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of healthcare interventions, lifestyle changes, and aging population on cerebrovascular disease mortality. Monitoring these factors could provide important insights for public health policies and resource allocation in rural China.