Forecast: Kerosene-Type Jet Fuel (Excluding Biofuel Portion) Final Consumption in Domestic Aviation in the UK

The consumption of kerosene-type jet fuel for domestic aviation in the UK is projected to rise steadily from 2024 to 2028, starting at 976.1 thousand tonnes of oil equivalent in 2024 and reaching 1020.0 by 2028. From 2023 to 2024, the consumption is expected to increase, suggesting a focus on recovery and growth post-pandemic. In the following years, a consistent yet modest year-on-year growth is evident, averaging around 1% annually, contributing to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 1.10% over the five years from 2024 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in fuel efficiency technology, shifts towards sustainable aviation fuels (although these are excluded from this data), and potential policy changes aimed at reducing aviation emissions, which could impact future consumption patterns.

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