The forecast for kerosene-type jet fuel transformation output in the UK shows a consistent decline from 5.07 million tonnes of oil equivalent in 2024 to 4.93 in 2028. This represents a year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.79% to 0.61% over these years. When analyzed over five years starting from 2023, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) demonstrates a steady decline in jet fuel transformation output, indicating a continuous downward trend.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential impact of alternative and sustainable aviation fuels, as they could accelerate the decline in kerosene-type outputs.
Technological advancements and policy changes aiming at reducing carbon emissions in aviation, influencing fuel demand.
Fluctuations in global air travel demand post-pandemic could alter forecast trajectories.