The total number of scientific publications in drug discovery in South Africa is projected to experience steady growth from 2024 to 2028. The forecasted figures are as follows: 68.11 publications in 2024, 69.75 in 2025, 71.32 in 2026, 72.82 in 2027, and 74.27 in 2028. In 2023, the number of publications stood at approximately 66.68. This suggests a continuous growth trajectory with an average Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of around 2.65% over the next five years.
Year-on-year variations from 2024 to 2028 are expected to be as follows:
- From 2024 to 2025: an increase of approximately 2.41%
- From 2025 to 2026: an increase of approximately 2.25%
- From 2026 to 2027: an increase of approximately 2.11%
- From 2027 to 2028: an increase of approximately 1.99%
Future trends to watch for include advancements in biotechnology and bioinformatics, increasing international collaborations, and government policies promoting scientific research. These could further enhance the research output in drug discovery in South Africa.
