The forecast for municipal waste incineration in the UK reveals a consistent upward trend from 2024 to 2028, starting at 19 kilograms per capita in 2024 and rising to 21 kilograms per capita by 2028. This represents a year-on-year growth rate of approximately 5% from 2026 to 2027 and remains stable thereafter. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecast period stands at about 2.5% annually. In contrast, the figure for 2023 was relatively lower, indicative of increasing reliance on incineration for waste management.
Future trends to monitor include potential regulatory changes that could impact waste management practices, advances in incineration technology that may improve efficiency, and the broader push towards sustainable practices that could influence the volume of waste incinerated. Additionally, public sentiment towards environmental concerns may steer policy and practices away from incineration towards more sustainable waste reduction strategies.