Analyzing the harvested production of subtropical and tropical fruits in Italy reveals notable trends. In 2016, the production was at 534.89 thousand metric tons and steadily increased to 582.31 thousand metric tons by 2017, an 8.87% year-on-year variation. After a slight dip in 2018 by 1.63%, production fell more significantly in 2019 by 6.38%. However, 2020 saw a dramatic rise of 39.42%, reaching 747.75 thousand metric tons, followed by a 13.27% decline in 2021. The production rebounded in 2022, increasing by 18.04%, then showing a minor drop of 0.53% in 2023, standing at 761.53 thousand metric tons.
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years (2018-2023) was 5.86%, reflecting a positive growth trend. Forecasts from 2024 onward suggest continued growth, with the production expected to reach 893.32 thousand metric tons by 2028, reflecting a 2.39% CAGR over the forecast period and a cumulative growth rate of 12.55% over five years.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in agricultural technologies, changing climate conditions, and shifts in consumer preferences towards healthy and exotic fruits. These factors are poised to influence the production dynamics significantly. Tracking these developments will be crucial for stakeholders within the subtropical and tropical fruit market in Italy.