Fresh pears export in Canada has shown significant fluctuations between 2013 and 2023. Starting at 40 metric tons in 2013, exports peaked at 430 metric tons in 2019, followed by a sharp decline to 160 metric tons in 2020. Recent years have seen variable performance with 2023 exports standing at 90 metric tons, a 12.5% increase from 2022. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years is -11.94%, indicating a general downward trend despite occasional growth spurts.
Year-on-year variations have been pronounced:
- 2014: 200%
- 2015: 58.33%
- 2016: 42.11%
- 2017: -37.04%
- 2018: 0%
- 2019: 152.94%
- 2020: -62.79%
- 2021: 93.75%
- 2022: -74.19%
- 2023: 12.5%
Forecast data from 2024 to 2028 indicate a continuing decline, with a projected CAGR of -8.97%, reaching 50 metric tons in 2028, representing a forecasted 37.5% decrease over five years.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential market stabilization at lower export volumes.
- Influence of global economic conditions and trade policies on export volumes.
- Possible innovations in agricultural practices aimed at boosting yield and quality, which could impact export levels positively.
