Forecast: Aviation Gasoline Final Consumption in Domestic Aviation in the Netherlands

The final consumption of aviation gasoline in domestic aviation in the Netherlands has been on a declining trend from 2013 to 2023, with some fluctuations. The consumption held steady at 12.22 GWh from 2013 to 2016, then started to decrease noticeably. By 2023, the value stood at 6.28 GWh. In recent years, significant variations were observed: a 23.77% increase in 2020 followed by a substantial rise of 41.54% in 2021, only to drop sharply by 48.13% in 2022 and a further decline of 15.97% in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2019 to 2023 was -8.45%.

Looking ahead, the forecasted values suggest a continuous and steep decline in the consumption of aviation gasoline, with a CAGR of -39.94% expected from 2024 to 2028. By 2028, the consumption is projected to plummet to just 0.4 GWh, a 92.18% decrease from 2023.

Future trends to watch for include potential further advancements in aviation fuel efficiency, the adoption of alternative sustainable aviation fuels, and potential regulatory changes aimed at reducing the carbon footprint of the aviation industry, which could continue to drive down the consumption of traditional aviation gasoline.