Forecast: Mobile Broadband Subscriptions in Germany

The mobile broadband subscription rate in Germany has shown steady growth from 54.79 subscriptions per hundred persons in 2013 to 94.12 in 2023. The year-on-year percentage variation initially displayed high growth rates, which have gradually tapered off over the years. For instance, the year-on-year variation in 2013 was 31.07%, which slowed to 2.15% by 2023. The most recent five-year CAGR leading up to 2023 stands at 2.6%.

Notably, the actual data for 2022 showed a slight decline at -2.64%, although it rebounded in 2023. The projected forecast data from 2024 to 2028 indicates a more moderate growth with a five-year forecast CAGR of 1%, suggesting an eventual stabilization at around 100.73 subscriptions per hundred persons by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

• Technological advancements in mobile broadband.
• Increased adoption of 5G networks.
• Potential market saturation as subscription rates approach 100 per hundred persons.
• Impact of emerging alternatives like satellite internet.