In 2023, Brazil's share of scientific publications in the top 10% of cited works in computer vision and pattern recognition stood at 2.31%. From 2024, a downward trend is observed, decreasing from 2.08% and forecasted to decline to 1.16% by 2028. Year-on-year, this reflects declines of 11.06% from 2024 to 2025, 12.43% from 2025 to 2026, 14.20% from 2026 to 2027, and 16.55% from 2027 to 2028. This data indicates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -14.91% over the forecasted period, suggesting a significant annual decrease in Brazil's contributions.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Efforts to enhance research funding and collaboration could counteract declining trends.
- Technological advancements in AI and machine learning may influence publication impacts positively.
- Global competition and open-access publishing dynamics could further affect Brazil's share.
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