In 2023, the tax expenditure on natural gas in France was approximately 1.42 billion USD. From 2024 to 2028, the forecast indicates a steady increase, with expenditures expected to rise from 1.52 billion USD in 2024 to 1.91 billion USD in 2028. This represents a year-on-year growth of approximately 6.6% from 2024 to 2025, followed by a consistent annual increase of around 6-6.5%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period is projected to be about 5.0%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential policy changes impacting natural gas taxation in response to environmental priorities.
Shifts in energy consumption patterns towards renewable sources, which might influence natural gas demand and fiscal policies.
Economic factors and inflation that could alter the purchasing power and tax strategies related to energy consumption.