Forecast: Value Added in Retail Sale Via Mail Order Houses or Via Internet by Size Class in South Korea

The value added in retail sales via mail order houses or via internet in South Korea has shown a dynamic trend from 2013 to 2023. Starting at 2.0466 trillion KRW in 2013, it dipped slightly in the mid-2010s before recovering and exhibiting steady growth. By 2023, the value had escalated to 3.4966 trillion KRW, indicating robust development within a decade.

Year-on-year variation highlights notable fluctuations:

- 2013 to 2016 saw mixed results with a significant drop in 2015 but a rebound in 2016 with a 6.65% increase.

- The period from 2017 to 2018 marked a strong growth phase with increases of 19.32% and 22.91% respectively.

- While there was a slight reduction in 2019, the years 2020 to 2023 demonstrated consistent albeit moderate growth of around 3% to 4% per annum.

The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over different periods portrays a decreasing trend, with a noticeable CAGR of 2.81% from 2018 to 2023. Forecast analysis suggests a continued yet moderated growth, with a 5-year forecast CAGR of 2.37% and an overall forecast growth rate of 12.4% through 2028.

Future trends to watch for include the potential impact of technological advancements, increased competition from global e-commerce players, and changes in consumer behavior post-pandemic. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the evolving landscape of online retail in South Korea.

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