The forecast for the UK's national road freight volume of dangerous goods shows a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028, starting from 5.24 billion tonne-kilometers in 2024 and decreasing yearly to 4.39 billion tonne-kilometers by 2028. Compared to the figures in 2023, this indicates a continuing downward trend.
Year-on-year analysis reveals a decrease of approximately 4% from 2024 to 2025 and a similar percentage decrease in subsequent years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this forecast period indicates an average decline of about 3.6% per year.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential regulatory changes impacting the transportation of dangerous goods.
- Technological advancements improving safety and efficiency in logistics.
- Shifts towards alternative transportation modes or routes influenced by environmental policies.
- Economic factors affecting demand for goods classified as dangerous.