The analysis of outbound tourist arrivals in tourist accommodation establishments in Turkey reveals fluctuating trends with an overall positive trajectory. Initial years showed volatility with significant drops in 2015, 2016, but recovering in subsequent years with a remarkable increase in 2018 (35.79%). By 2023, the value stood at 32.13 million persons, registering a 2.17% year-on-year growth rate. The five-year CAGR up to 2023 is 0.63%, indicating modest growth.

Future trends to watch for include:

Steady growth as projected values show an increment, peaking at 35.34 million persons in 2028.
Expected average annual growth rate of 1.51% over the next five years.
Potential impacts of global travel trends, economic conditions, and policy changes on outbound tourism.