Forecast: Number of POS Transactions at Terminals in China

Between 2013 and 2023, the number of POS transactions in China grew significantly, from 12.97 billion units to 53.56 billion units, showcasing an impressive expansion. However, the year-on-year growth rate decreased over time, illustrating a maturing market. Notably, the CAGR from 2018 to 2023 was 5.61%, indicating a stabilization phase.

For 2022 and 2023, the year-on-year variations were 0.15% and 4.8%, respectively, pointing to a slower growth trajectory. Forecasts predict that by 2028, the number of transactions will reach 65.22 billion units, with a 5-year CAGR of 3.03%, leading to a total growth rate of 16.12% over the period.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Integration of advanced payment technologies such as biometrics and AI.
  • Rise in mobile and digital wallet usage.
  • Increased adoption of contactless and NFC payments.
  • Continued modernization of POS infrastructure.

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