The forecast for green coffee imports in Indonesia indicates a steady increase from 1.41 million bags (60 kg) in 2024 to 1.55 million bags in 2028. This consistent upward trend can be attributed to rising demand in the domestic market and possibly increased consumption driven by a growing middle class and evolving coffee culture. Comparing the data from the actual figures in 2023 with the forecasted data, we see a year-on-year growth ranging from approximately 2.8% to 2.6%. Over the past two years, the imports have maintained a positive growth pattern.
The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period (2024-2028) stands at around 2.4%, indicating a stable and sustainable increase in green coffee imports.
Trends to watch for include potential changes in global coffee prices, shifts in trade policies, and the impact of climate change on both international supply and domestic agricultural initiatives. These factors could influence the projected import volumes and should be closely monitored.