In 2023, the number of top-cited scientific publications in community and home care in Canada was a baseline from which we observe a forecasted decline. From 2024 to 2028, the annual rate of top-cited publications is projected to decrease from 3.86 to 3.15 publications. The year-on-year variations show a consistent downward trend, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflecting this fall over the five-year forecast.

Future trends to watch for include:

Emerging innovations in community and home care that could influence publication trends.
The impact of governmental policy changes on research funding and publication rates.
Potential increases in collaborations and cross-disciplinary research enhancing citation potential.