Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Community and Home Care in Brazil

The share of corresponding or leading authors in scientific publications on community and home care in Brazil was established at a significant level in 2023. Forecasted data suggest a slight, yet consistent, decline from 93.6% in 2024 to 93.2% in 2028. This gradual decrease reflects a yearly decrease of approximately 0.1 percentage points, indicating a shift in author dynamics over time. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) also suggests a continuing minor decline over the five-year period.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Increase in international collaborations may influence the number of corresponding authors in Brazilian publications.
  • Enhanced focus on interdisciplinary research could alter author distributions.
  • Potential policies to encourage domestic leadership in research may counteract the declining trend.

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