Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Epidemiology in Germany

In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in epidemiology in Germany stood at approximately 84%. As we move into the forecasted period from 2024 to 2028, the share demonstrates a minor declining trend, starting at 83.84% in 2024 and gradually reducing to 83.4% by 2028. This reflects a small but consistent year-on-year decline, with the CAGR indicating a modest average reduction per year over this period. The data implies a stable yet slightly decreasing share of corresponding authorship throughout these five years.

Looking ahead, it will be important to monitor whether the minor decline in share persists beyond 2028. Key trends to watch for include shifts in publication collaboration dynamics, policy changes in academic publishing, and potential increases in international co-authorship, which could influence the share of corresponding authors in Germany’s epidemiology field.

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