Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Epidemiology in Germany

Based on the forecasted data, the share of Germany's scientific publications in epidemiology expected to be among the world's top 10% cited publications is projected to rise steadily from 2024 to 2028, starting at 14.77% in 2024 and reaching 15.04% by 2028. This indicates a positive annual growth trajectory, with a gradual yet consistent increase observed year on year.

The projected average annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is modest, suggesting a stable enhancement in the global impact and recognition of Germany's epidemiological research.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The effectiveness of policy and funding enhancements in strengthening research quality.
  • Technological advancements and interdisciplinary collaboration potentially accelerating citation growth.
  • Global and regional competition influencing the share of top-cited publications.

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