Based on the forecasted data, the share of Germany's scientific publications in epidemiology expected to be among the world's top 10% cited publications is projected to rise steadily from 2024 to 2028, starting at 14.77% in 2024 and reaching 15.04% by 2028. This indicates a positive annual growth trajectory, with a gradual yet consistent increase observed year on year.
The projected average annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is modest, suggesting a stable enhancement in the global impact and recognition of Germany's epidemiological research.
Future trends to watch for include:
- The effectiveness of policy and funding enhancements in strengthening research quality.
- Technological advancements and interdisciplinary collaboration potentially accelerating citation growth.
- Global and regional competition influencing the share of top-cited publications.