Forecast: Primary Fruit Yield in Japan

In 2023, Japan's primary fruit yield was recorded at 163.5 thousand hectograms per hectare. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 indicate a steady decline in yield, dropping from 162.96 to 160.51 thousand hectograms per hectare. The observed trend signifies a continuous annual decrease of approximately 0.3% to 0.4%. Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is negative, suggesting a consistent decline in yield.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Impact of climate change and extreme weather conditions on yield.
  • Technological advancements in agriculture that could improve yields per hectare.
  • Potential shifts in domestic fruit consumption patterns and their implications for local producers.

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