Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics in Germany

The share of Germany’s scientific publications in the top 10% cited in Ecology, Evolution, Behavior, and Systematics is forecasted to rise from 16.86% in 2024 to 17.4% by 2028. This steady annual increase, which averages 0.14 percentage points per year, suggests a positive trend of enhanced research output and impact in Germany within these fields. Comparatively, this represents an improvement from its 2023 standing, where the share was lower.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential diversification in research topics and innovative methodologies contributing to increased citations.
  • The role of international collaborations and their influence on enhancing publication impact.
  • The effect of funding and institutional policies in sustaining this upward citation trend.

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