The share of corresponding/leading authors in UK scientific publications in ecology is forecasted to decline gradually from 2024 to 2028, decreasing from 79.15% to 77.37%. This steady decline represents a calculated effort to increase collaborative authorship and broaden the diversity of contributing voices in scientific research. In 2023, this share stood at a slightly higher level, indicating the beginning of this downward trend.
Year-on-year analysis shows a subtle decrease in the percentage of corresponding/leading authors, emphasizing the UK's move towards more collaborative scholarly environments. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) also highlights a consistent decline over the forecast period.
Future trends to watch include:
- Increase in international collaborations affecting author dynamics.
- Growing emphasis on multidisciplinary research that may further influence authorship roles.
- Technological advancements in data sharing and remote collaboration, potentially altering traditional authorship structures.