Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Aerospace Engineering in Germany

Germany's share of scientific publications in the top 10% most-cited for aerospace engineering shows a declining trend from 2024 to 2028. The share starts at 10% in 2024, decreasing annually, reaching 9.11% by 2028. In 2023, this figure stood relatively higher, marking a significant downtrend.

Year-over-year variations indicate a decreased share by 2.2% in 2025, 2.35% in 2026, 2.30% in 2027, and 2.36% in 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over these years showcases an average annual decline.

Future trends to watch:

  • Impact of increased global competition on Germany's aerospace research prominence.
  • Influence of technological advancements on citation impact.
  • Potential policy changes affecting research funding and focus areas.

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