The forecast for Italy's loaded national road freight transport volume reflects a persistent decline from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 4.9 billion tonne-kilometers in 2024, it is anticipated to decrease annually, reaching 1.54 billion by 2028. This represents a year-on-year reduction of approximately 17% in 2025, 20.7% in 2026, 26.1% in 2027, and further dropping by 35.0% in 2028. When examining the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this period, the average decline is substantial. Data for 2023 indicated a higher level, showcasing this downward trend.

Looking ahead, several factors could influence these projections:

Advancements and adoption of logistics technologies may alter volume dynamics.
Economic conditions and regulatory policies will play a crucial role.
Trends in sustainability and green logistics might redefine freight structures.
Regional and international trade agreements could influence demand fluctuations.