Forecast: Commercial Vehicles in Use in Zambia

The number of commercial vehicles in use in Zambia has experienced a varied trend over the past years. In 2023, the number stood at 140,000 units. From 2020, there was a notable dip of 15.73%, but this was followed by substantial recovery in 2021 with a 17.04% increase, and a steady rise from 2022 onward. The year-on-year increase in 2023 was 1.45%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was 1.81%, indicating moderate growth.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Steady growth is forecasted with a 5-year CAGR of 1.3% from 2024 to 2028, indicating an overall 6.7% increase over this period.
  • Potential impacts of economic policies and external market conditions on the commercial vehicle sector.
  • Technological advancements and evolving transportation needs contributing to potential shifts and demands in the market.

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