Forecast: Perinatal Mortality in the US

The perinatal mortality rate in the US has shown a consistent decline from 2013 through 2023, decreasing from 6.2 deaths per thousand births in 2013 to 5.1 in 2023. This represents an overall reduction of approximately 17.7%. The year-on-year variation indicates a steady decline, noticeable especially since 2017. From 2021 to 2023, the rate dropped by an average of 2.81% each year. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years is -2.54%, suggesting a continued downward trend in perinatal mortality.

Looking ahead to the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028, the perinatal mortality rate is expected to further decline, with a forecasted CAGR of -2.09% and an overall reduction of 10% by 2028. The rate is projected to be 4.5 deaths per thousand births by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in prenatal care, improvements in socioeconomic conditions, and the adoption of new medical technologies, which could further influence the reduction in perinatal mortality rates.

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