Forecast: National Railway Passenger Traffic in France

From 2013 to 2019, national railway passenger traffic in France has experienced fluctuations, with notable growth in 2017 and slight declines in some years. The significant decrease in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted passenger traffic. However, subsequent years show a strong recovery, nearly returning to pre-pandemic levels by 2021 and continued growth up to 2023, which stood at 86.61 billion passenger kilometers.

The year-on-year trend over the last two years (2022 to 2023) displays a small but positive increase of 0.48%. The five-year CAGR from 2018 to 2023 is observed at 0.65%, indicating a slow but steady growth overall.

Looking forward, forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 projects a moderate annual growth rate, with a forecasted five-year CAGR of 0.4% and an overall growth rate of 2.01% by 2028. Key trends to watch for include potential impacts from sustainability efforts, technological advancements in railway infrastructure, and changes in travel behavior post-pandemic.

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