As of 2023, Germany imported 46.37 thousand shotguns, rifles, carbines, and muzzle-loaders. The forecast for 2024 indicates a decline to 44.76 thousand items, with subsequent decreases projected annually: 43.14 thousand in 2025, 41.53 thousand in 2026, 39.94 thousand in 2027, and 38.36 thousand in 2028.

The year-on-year percentage change displays a steady downward trend: -4.08% from 2023 to 2024, -3.62% from 2024 to 2025, -3.73% from 2025 to 2026, -3.83% from 2026 to 2027, and -3.96% from 2027 to 2028. Analysis over five years suggests a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -3.84%.

Future trends to watch for:

Increased regulation on firearm imports could further dampen volumes.
Shifts in consumer preferences or advancements in technology affecting hunting and sporting activities.
Potential changes in EU trade policies impacting import activities.